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Petrol prices: Morgan Stanley estimates additional $12bn a year at bowsers


Australians are on monitor to spend billions extra on the bowser this 12 months, with each family set to really feel the pinch.

Australians will spend as much as an additional $12bn on petrol this 12 months, as international sanctions on Russia trigger a surge in oil costs all over the world.

With the typical value of unleaded petrol hovering to above $2 and breaking information throughout the nation, Morgan Stanley estimates the typical family will spend an extra $1100 this 12 months, in accordance with The Australian.

Oil costs have surged to greater than $A150 a barrel within the wake of Russia’s invasion on Ukraine.

In a word to shoppers, Morgan Stanley economist Chris Learn reportedly mentioned larger commodity prices would have a direct impression on drivers.

“We estimate that the present oil futures curve implies a $12bn enhance in gas spending by households this 12 months,” he mentioned.

Mr Learn’s estimate is larger than the Australian Car Affiliation’s $11bn forecast earlier this week.

Economists word Australia’s $250bn in further family financial savings collected all through the Covid-19 pandemic is more likely to be an necessary buffer.

CommSec chief economist Craig James earlier this week mentioned in contrast with the start of the 12 months, Australian households have been spending an additional $35 a month on petrol.

Mr James mentioned on common, households have been spending a document $257.46 every month on the bowser.

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg mentioned in a speech on Wednesday that for the reason that outbreak of battle in Ukraine, international oil costs had risen by greater than a 3rd.

“As (Russian president Vladimir) Putin seeks to weaponise Europe’s power dependency on Russia, it can undoubtedly check the West’s ache threshold,” Mr Frydenberg mentioned.

“And whereas Australia is healthier positioned than most to face up to these pressures, there might be prices borne by Australians in defending our values.”

Impartial senator Rex Patrick is main the decision for the federal government to slash the gas excise to cut back the burden on Australian motorists as specialists warn the value per litre might quickly tip $2.50.

“The federal government should take motion to supply fast aid for Australian households by implementing a brief 50 per cent discount within the gas excise,” Senator Patrick mentioned final month.

“Whereas the present surge in petrol costs, the very best in over a decade is pushed by worldwide market forces and exacerbated by the Ukraine disaster, a serious part of the price of gas is federal excise on the present charge, simply elevated at first of February, of 44.2 cents per litre.”

Earlier this week, NRMA’s Peter Khoury instructed NCA NewsWire {that a} lower to the gas excise would make little distinction.

“You may’t regulate the tax based mostly on what oil costs are doing as a result of they’re so risky … There is no such thing as a short-term resolution,” he mentioned.

Power Minister Angus Taylor mentioned the gas excise was required for “street constructing”.

“We see the ache individuals are feeling on the pump,” he mentioned.

“The excise is used to fund street spending … And we wish to preserve that street constructing occurring.

“As I drive round throughout the floods, I see how far more work has to enter our roads within the coming years and that needs to be paid for.”


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